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Basic economics says the Trump tariffs won’t affect the US trade balance in the least

March 27, 2018 by Richard Schulman 1 Comment

So far, this country has been the biggest loser from President Trump's tariffs

The Trump Administration brought a bit more clarity to the Section 232 “national security” tariffs being imposed on steel (25%) and aluminum (10%). Korea and the US have meanwhile settled their differences, and the US and China are in negotiations. But there’s still lack of clarity as to how countries will be exempted from US […]

Filed Under: Trade  Tagged: African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), BREXIT, China, Group of 20 (G20), Japan, Korean-US Trade Agreement (KORUS), NAFTA

Trump tariffs freeze investments, split Republicans, hurt allies, boost China

March 5, 2018 by Richard Schulman 1 Comment

President Trump announced 25% steel tariffs and 10% aluminum tariffs in the name of military security. The tariff announcement will freeze US investments, split Republicans, hurt US allies (especially Canada), and boost the influence of China as an economic, diplomatic, and military power. The Trump tariffs, however, have near unanimous Democratic Party support. A U.S. […]

Filed Under: Trade  Tagged: Canada, China, Chrystia Freeland, Gary Cohn, tariffs, World Trade Organization (WTO)

Despite export boom, US tax cuts and deficit will increase imports over exports, threatening ill-considered administrative protectionism

February 12, 2018 by Richard Schulman 1 Comment

Emblem of the US Trade Representative

Trade correspondent LC’s weekly report The probability that the trade deficit will continue to grow presents a danger for US trading partners. The recent US tax cuts and government spending hike will likely increase US demand, keeping US savings lagging consumption and attracting even more imports, pushing the trade deficit up. Strong demand abroad should […]

Filed Under: Trade  Tagged: American Insstitute for International Steel (AIIS), Canada, China, European Union (EU), protectionism, Robert Lighthizer, safeguards, Section 232, Section 301, South Korea, Taiwan, US Chamber of Commerce, US International Trade Commission (ITC), US Trade Representative (USTR), World Trade Organization (WTO)

Transpacific Partnership now live — minus US. Trump on protectionist drive?

January 23, 2018 by Richard Schulman 1 Comment

U.S. solar panel manufacturers want protection from Chinese state-favored producers; US solar installers and homeowners want the imports to continue

Weekly trade report by L.C. Late breaking item! As we went to press, Canada’s Prime Minister Trudean announced that Canada had accepted joining the Transpacific Partnership (TPP-11). It’s now live — without the U.S. This is a major world trade development that will put much pressure on the US, especially its crucial agriculture sector. Yesterday […]

Filed Under: Trade  Tagged: Canada, China, CPTPP (new 11-nation TPP), protectionism, Robert Lighthizer, Russia, South Korea, Uraniuim One scandal, uranium, WTO

What to do about Pakistan?

January 21, 2018 by Richard Schulman 1 Comment

Georgraphy shows why Pakistan fears a two-front war with India and an Indian-dominated Afghanistan

During the Cold War, Pakistan was a key US ally. It helped the Reagan administration arm the Taliban to drive the Russians out of Afghanistan. Pakistan is still supporting the Taliban because it fears India’s domination of Afghanistan, which the US is encouraging.  What to do about Pakistan? A better US policy would be to […]

Filed Under: Pakistan  Tagged: Afghanistan, BIMSTEC, China, India, Kashmir Valley, Pakistan, SAARC

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